{
  "rows": 30711,
  "enterprises": 263,
  "as_of_months": 22,
  "horizons": 6,
  "validation": "expanding-window time-series split over as-of months",
  "feature_order": [
    "feed_cost_change",
    "output_price_change",
    "margin_squeeze",
    "price_z_score",
    "rainfall_anomaly",
    "heat_anomaly",
    "cash_flow_change",
    "emi_delay",
    "inventory_days",
    "feed_staleness_days",
    "days_since_last_entry",
    "emi_to_inflow",
    "feed_cost_change__missing",
    "output_price_change__missing",
    "margin_squeeze__missing",
    "price_z_score__missing",
    "rainfall_anomaly__missing",
    "heat_anomaly__missing",
    "cash_flow_change__missing",
    "emi_delay__missing",
    "inventory_days__missing",
    "feed_staleness_days__missing",
    "days_since_last_entry__missing",
    "emi_to_inflow__missing",
    "trail_mean",
    "trail_sd",
    "trail_min",
    "trail_inflow",
    "trail_months",
    "emi",
    "horizon",
    "sector_id",
    "district_id"
  ],
  "quantiles": {
    "p10": {
      "alpha": 0.1,
      "pinball_model": 3150.78,
      "pinball_deterministic": 4182.0
    },
    "p50": {
      "alpha": 0.5,
      "pinball_model": 6194.72,
      "pinball_deterministic": 7061.24
    },
    "p90": {
      "alpha": 0.9,
      "pinball_model": 2770.14,
      "pinball_deterministic": 4112.53
    }
  },
  "verdict": "3/3 quantiles beat the deterministic strategy on held-out months",
  "trainedAt": "2026-08-24T11:07:50.265843"
}